Rajandran R Telecom Engineer turned Full-time Derivative Trader. Mostly Trading Nifty, Banknifty, USDINR and High Liquid Stock Derivatives. Trading the Markets Since 2006 onwards. Using Market Profile and Orderflow for more than a decade. Designed and published 100+ open source trading systems on various trading tools. Strongly believe that market understanding and robust trading frameworks are the key to the trading success. Writing about Markets, Trading System Design, Market Sentiment, Trading Softwares & Trading Nuances since 2007 onwards. Author of Marketcalls.in)

30 years of Gold – Chart for the Day

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Gold is traditionally the store of value to which investors turn in times of instability.Chart shows the past 30 years history of Dollar Denominated Gold Chart. From the chart, Gold is not a fruitful investment since 1980-2001. since 1980 it is in a sideways bear market for more than 20 years. The rise in Gold starts from 2001 year onwards followed by a 10years of bull market producing almost 500% returns from the bear market bottom( i.e from $258 to $1262). The major contributed years for the surge in gold are are 2002(30.6%), 2005(35.3%), 2007(42.3%).

The recent peaks and troughs of the gold price occurred at some of the key moments in economic history.

15 AUGUST 1971, GOLD STANDARD ABANDONED
Struggling to pay for the cost of the Vietnam war, President Richard Nixon abandoned the so-called “gold standard”. The dollar had been fixed at a rate of $35 to an ounce. That peg was dropped and gold started to rise.

1974 OIL PRICE SHOCK, INFLATION SOARS
The oil crisis caused a global surge in inflation. In the US inflation hit 11%, and investors bought-up gold to protect themselves.

Gold is viewed as a safer investment because it keeps its value better than many other assets, such as shares.

Gold finished the year 63% higher.

JANUARY 1980, SOVIET INVASION OF AFGHANISTAN
International political tension soared after the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. Gold hit a record of $850 an ounce on 21 January.

1981-1982, CONFIDENCE RETURNS
Gold prices started to fall as investors regained some confidence in the US economy and the dollar. Inflation also began to slow.

JULY 1986, SOUTH AFRICA
Western nations imposed sanctions on South Africa in protest over its apartheid laws. Gold prices jumped 23% between July and October as traders worried that South Africa might cut gold exports in retaliation.

1987, INFLATION RETURNS
The gold price broke $500 per ounce for the first time in five years as inflation accelerated again in the United States.

JULY 1996-1999, BANKS START SELLING GOLD
Gold prices fell on news that the International Monetary Fund had been considering selling 5 million ounces to help pay for debt relief in the developing world.

Central banks started to follow the IMF’s lead.

The Swiss Central bank announced a plan to sell 1,400 tonnes of gold, Australia also sold a large part of its reserves.

The British government sold more than half of its gold – almost 400 tonnes – of gold between 1999 and 2002 raising $3.5bn.

It was poor timing for all the banks as in July 1999 gold hit a 20-year low of $252.80 an ounce.

AUGUST 2005 HURRICANE KATRINA

Hurricane Katrina boosted oil prices and raised fears that a period of quicker inflation was returning. By December 2005 gold was at $536.50 an ounce, the highest level in 24 years.The weak dollar also helped boost gold throughout 2006.

AUGUST 2007 CREDIT CRISIS
Investors bought gold as a safe haven amid the growing financial crisis. The falling dollar and rising global inflation also boosted the metal.

Indian Gold Historical Data for the past 86 years

Rajandran R Telecom Engineer turned Full-time Derivative Trader. Mostly Trading Nifty, Banknifty, USDINR and High Liquid Stock Derivatives. Trading the Markets Since 2006 onwards. Using Market Profile and Orderflow for more than a decade. Designed and published 100+ open source trading systems on various trading tools. Strongly believe that market understanding and robust trading frameworks are the key to the trading success. Writing about Markets, Trading System Design, Market Sentiment, Trading Softwares & Trading Nuances since 2007 onwards. Author of Marketcalls.in)

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7 Replies to “30 years of Gold – Chart for the Day”

  1. Nice views about Gold Rajendran.
    How does Gold compare with Crude? Do they have positive co-relation?

  2. Great info keep it up, could you consider some nifty based stocks or is it asking for too much. Thanks for the info.

  3. I love the 30 year chart for gold. Beautiful.

    One question, do you know (or have access to) 30 year charts for the rest of the metals and commodities?

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