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USDINR : Medium Term Momentum Picking Up

November 10, 2019 by Rajandran Leave a Comment

USDINR is trading in a broader level sideways mode in the band of 70.3-72 for the last 3 trading months. November month starts with a trending mode with increasing trend strength on the higher timeframe. Weekly ADX got into the incremental mode with value surpassing above 15.72 levels indicating a possible medium-term uptrend.

USDINR – Signs of Short Term Top

October 11, 2018 by Rajandran Leave a Comment

USDINR has an interesting monthly pattern. For 10 months in a row, it is one timeframing without breaking previous month lows that shows the confidence of larger timeframe players. It is a straight upward one-sided rally. All-time high comes around 74.528. Current swing move from 63.10 to 74.528 which is roughly 18% of swing move. The entire move comes from the year 2018 along.

USDINR Medium Term Technical Analysis Overview

August 23, 2018 by Rajandran Leave a Comment

Bullish Momentum in USDINR Kickstarted during the start of June 2018 and most likely to extend till the Sep 2018. USDINR also tested all-time high 70.89 on 14th Aug 2018. What is really missing compared to the majority of the EM Currencies is that Extreme bullish momentum seems to be missing thus far.

Wave of Tsunami in Turkish Lira

August 11, 2018 by Rajandran Leave a Comment

The Turkish lira fell to an all-time low against the dollar. The lira tumbled 15.63% against the dollar on friday to 6.4323 from the previous close. The currency — which has lost more than 40 per cent of its value this year — was 18.5 per cent lower at one point on Friday. Turkish stock market index – Borsa Istanbul 100 ended -2.23% at Friday close. Year to Date stock market index is down by 17.68%.

USDJPY Momentum Here to Stay

June 27, 2018 by Rajandran Leave a Comment

Yet another classical technical view on USDJPY as it comes out of the classical 200 Moving average (110.20) with a short covering. The Interesting part is that so far 7 attempts had made to close above 200MA since May 2018 all ends in vain. However current short-covering in USDJPY started with the speech of Peter Navarro, “one of President Donald Trump’s top trade advisors, said the market was overreacting to fears the administration would restrict foreign investment as part of its trade actions against China and other countries,” according to CNBC.

USDINR – Medium Term Technical Outlook

June 11, 2018 by Rajandran Leave a Comment

Just like any other Emerging Market currency – USDINR also depreciated since the start of the year 2018. The recent Debt crisis in Argentina, Turkey and Brazil. The unexpected lift in dollar US FED rates made dollar attractive and Emerging markets are witnessing a big EM assets outflow as global investors started pulling their money from Emerging Markets.

U.S. Dollar : Why It Pays to Use the Elliott Wave Model

April 9, 2018 by Rajandran 1 Comment

The basic Elliott wave pattern for financial markets is five waves in the direction of the main trend with corrections, i.e., moves against the trend, unfolding in three waves.

Things you need to Know about Cross Currency Derivatives

February 22, 2018 by Rajandran 2 Comments

Both NSE & BSE received approval from SEBI to launch Cross Currency Derivative Pairs EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY. The trade timing in pair currency contracts would be available between 9:00 AM and 7:30 PM.

USDJPY – Short Term Bottom Done Despite Rising Yields?

February 12, 2018 by Rajandran Leave a Comment

USDJPY currently trading around 108.71 with relatively thin volumes as Japanese markets are in holiday and despite rising US Markets and 10-year note yield now at 2.90%, surpassing last week’s 4-year high. trading higher USDJPY pair is little changed from Fridays closing.

Bitcoin’s $10,000 “Line in the Sand”

February 1, 2018 by Elliott Wave Leave a Comment

On January 23, Bitcoin fell below $10,000. That’s the second time in recent days that prices dipped below this psychologically important threshold. The headlines picked up on the drama: “Bitcoin tumbles below $10,000 and is now down 25% on the year…” (CNBC, Jan 23)

Medium Term TOP formation in Bitcoin?

December 9, 2017 by Rajandran Leave a Comment

Bitcoin is showing a significant sign of weakness from the price action point of view as it does a open rejection from thursdays top. On Fridays session price opened gap up and done a magical high of 16666.66 (Bitstamp Exchange) however rejected and got back into thursdays trading range with a strong rejection. Trading sentiment is maintaining negative for the last two trading session. Medium term Bitcoin Trend Exhaustion is clearly visible.

Bitcoin Short Term Downtrend Set to Begin?

October 3, 2017 by Rajandran Leave a Comment

Too much of news about bitcoin(Chinese bitcoin bank, Korean ICOs ban, Jamie Dimon(JP Morgan), Goldman Sachs, ) kept the news flow busy attracting more of speculators. Despite all the negative speculation and panic dip below 3000 USD bitcoin price holds up with a strong bounce back.

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