Volatility is a double-edged Sword! Crazy Volatility is back in the markets. And you know volatility in the very short term is a roller coaster ride that brings a lot of thrill in an increasingly uncertain market particularly VIX reaches teen levels. Volatility not only increases the reward but also increases the risk of play as well. The volatility is all started with the Evergrande crisis.
Despite having an Evergrande crisis and global markets are throttling despite Nifty manage to touch an all-time high (near to 18k) and Sensex hits 60,000+ levels. Most of the trend following strategies performed better during the month of September. However short volatility traders took a lot of heat this series.
Implied volatility exploded to 23+ levels which bring IV percentile to 89.9 levels. Amount of fear is rising in the markets and most of the public markets are already aware of the rising fear and hence the higher premium is demanded by the option sellers and they are the ultimate risk takers.
India VIX rising to 18+ levels
So far September series is a bit tougher month for naked straddle/strangle writers as the price is still away from 1 Standard Deviation Levels. Here Is the September strangle constructed on 27th Aug 2021.
As the October series is about to start in the next couple of days And the 70% odds for the October Series go to the 16768 – 18632 range.
Hopefully October series will bless the straddle traders! Learning about volatility is good however overlooking to volatility is seriously injurious for short-term trading.