Nifty Futures ended negative as on last Friday and despite trading sentiment maintained negative price however managed to pull back from the lows after a serious gap down on Friday trading. India VIX collapsed by -6.48% despite the day ending negatively.
Odds of Short Covering?
Nifty Futures holds G3 High + Failed Auction and AB poor high at the recent swing high. Looking into the trading odds the chances of short-covering towards 17750, 17800 and 18000.
Vlintra V5 Trading System
Trading system turned positive in the last hour of trading and the base support comes around 17450-80 levels. Price sustaining below 17450 levels brings the invalidation of the bullish odds.
How to play this market context?
In the very short term price holding above 17500 on Monday’s trading session brings more bullish odds. Trading has to look for a possible value area building higher on Monday’s trading session and that move could bring a possible short-covering odds.
Trading Nifty with Hedged Futures
In order to control the downside risk, one can consider hedging the Nifty Futures with an OTM Put option.