Rajandran R Founder of Marketcalls and Co-Founder Algomojo. Full-Time Derivative Trader. Expert in Designing Trading Systems (Amibroker, Ninjatrader, Metatrader, Python, Pinescript). Trading the markets since 2006. Mentoring Traders on Trading System Designing, Market Profile, Orderflow and Trade Automation.

Sensex and the History

51 sec read

Here is an interesting information about the Historical Sensex Data extracted from icicidirect.com By Vivek Patil, India's foremost expert in Elliot Wave Analysis.

As per 8-year cycle, we saw three bear phases unfolding during the life-time of the Sensex so far. These three phases are as follows :

1. 1992 : Index dropped 57% from 4546 (Apr’92) to 1980 (Mar’93).
2. 2000 : Index dropped 58% from 6150 (Feb’00) to 2595 (Sep’01).
3. 2008 : Index dropped 63% from 21206 (Jan’08) to 7697 (Oct’08) [so far].

A study of these three bear phases throws up an interesting list of similar parameters :

1. Sensex lost about 60%.
2. It took 13 to 16 months to achieve lowest point of the phase.
3. There were 4 to 5 sell-offs.
4. There was a particular group of stocks that performed at the tops, “Old Economy” during ‘1992, “New Economy” during ‘2000 and “Property” during ‘2008.
5. Cycle heroes faced difficult times for 5-10 years
6. Stock market Scam.
7. Scam related to cycle performing sector, “old economy” during ‘1992, “new economy” during ‘2000 and “property” during ‘2008.
8. The scam-tainted bull was taken to jail, Harshad, Ketan, Raju.
9. The phase ended with a higher bottom higher top with faster retracement of the last falling segment.
10. The lowest level of the phase was hit after a catastrophic event unfolded, “Bombay Bomb Blast”, “WTC collapse”, ????.

Of this, the last parameter is still awaited to get unfolded. Students of Technical Analysis may note that “history repeats” is one of the three basic pillars of Technical Analysis.

 

Rajandran R Founder of Marketcalls and Co-Founder Algomojo. Full-Time Derivative Trader. Expert in Designing Trading Systems (Amibroker, Ninjatrader, Metatrader, Python, Pinescript). Trading the markets since 2006. Mentoring Traders on Trading System Designing, Market Profile, Orderflow and Trade Automation.

GANN Shorter term update for Nifty as on 15…

  GANN Supports zone near 5005. More weakness below 5005 as next support near 4780. Avoid longs if nifty dips below 5005. Source: www.marketcalls.in
Rajandran R
5 sec read

Larsen and toubro update

  Trailing Stop Loss Update for Larsen and Tourbo   Cover Shorts and reverse the position if LT closes above 1665. Source: www.marketcalls.in
Rajandran R
6 sec read

JP Associates is getting Weaker

  1)Stock is showing massive MACD divergence 2)Price is currently below 13,34,55 EMA and these levels could act as a resistance in coming sessions. 3)Stop loss...
Rajandran R
12 sec read

2 Replies to “Sensex and the History”

Leave a Reply

Get Notifications, Alerts on Market Updates, Trading Tools, Automation & More