In this tutorial, we are going to learn how to construct bearish hedge options for a price structure with crowded short term longs.
Crowded Short term longs in Hindustan Unilever witnessed from the Price Structure point of view and those crowded longs are reaching a kind of Euphoric state as the price started trading currently above 2320 levels.
Now lets try to understand the price structure and how one can build a trade setup with reference to the current market sentiment.
Since May month onwards one can see multiple layers of price compression followed by reaching the euphoric state with a gap on 17th July 2020. Price is reaching an extreme where short term trend reversals are possible as the multi layers of price compression is nothing but crowded short term traders reaching the euphoric state. Hence liquidation odds are possible with the given market sentiment. And also the trade inventory goes long to too long
In-Order to play for this Crowded Price compression setup one can consider using Slight OTM Puts hedged with x3 times of near OTM Short calls. Thing could bring some cushion for traders to manage the theta decay in the Put Options.
Spot Price : 2330
Buy 1 lot of 2300PE (near ATM Puts) – 30th July 2020 Expiry at 51.55/Lot
Short 3 lots of 2360CE (OTM Calls) – 30th July 2020 Expiry at Rs45.15/Lot
Buy 3 lot of 2500CE (OTM Calls) – 30th July 2020 Expiry at Rs12.75/Lot
Total Margin Required for Hedged Position : Rs1,88,000 (Approx)
Strategy Breakeven Point: 2375
Exit on Hindustan Unilever testing 2200 and 2100 levels.
Strategy Risk Level : Moderate Risk Level and Risk increases if Hindustan Unilever starts moving above 2375 levels.
|HUL Spot Expiry||Expiry Date||Profit/Loss|
The strategy has protection up to 2375 levels. If Nifty goes beyond 2400 levels it requires exit on the hedge until then, No strategy adjustment is required.
Strategy update on 23rd July 2020 – Closing the Strategy on 33,000/- Gain
Here is the updated position