Gaps are always interesting to me! I gives directional clues and also trading ideas. However each and every gaps should be treated differently. In the last tutorial we had discussed which gaps need to be given preference and which one should be ignored. Only the Gaps which opens above or below the previous days high low range gains importance from a traders perspective.
In this tutorial we will be focusing on the recent gaps in Nifty Futures and Bank Nifty Futures how those gaps got faded.
A Simple Gap trading rule is when markets are highly oversold and unidirectional (you can figure out from your Daily momentum indicators and oscillators with extreme readings) followed by gap up or down due to global sentiment on the same direction such gaps are expected to be faded faster. These gaps are called exhaustion gaps as they generally occur at the end of the trend and mainly driven by retail traders sentiment.
Last three gaps in nifty futures are tricky to play where to fade one gap it re-opens another gap and provides opportunity for traders to play towards the gap as target zone. Generally island reversal formation at the top is a negative sentiment as per classical technical analysis. However last two island reversal patterns in nifty futures are faded faster on the same day and fading all the gaps and thus weaker hands who are emotionally driven are tend to take wrong trading decisions and the global sentiment makes them to play towards the gap direction instead of against the gap followed by elimination game.
Nifty Futures 15min Charts
Multiple Gaps created in Nifty Futures in the zone 7853 and further created the island reversal pattern on lower timeframe charts and got faded on the same day (21st september) and some trading activity was done finally in the gap zone.
Bank Nifty Futures Daily Charts
After making a high of 17642 Banknifty futures gap down to close the gap at 17018 finally. I should say the fall attempt is just to close the gap.
Sentimental Gaps are easy to spot by understanding the sentiment in the market mostly driven by retail crowd and thus your trading opportunity.
In the next tutorial we will be focusing on the professional gaps.
[Gap tutorial continued….]
9 Replies to “Trading the Gap Up and Gap Down – Part…”
am intrested in learning how to trade gaps and other price action techniques. let me know, if you teach.
You can learn here. Iam penning down my observations. No special classes required to learn about gaps. It comes from trading experience!
Rajandran, Can you please provide your email id. Send me an email maybe if you don’t want to share your id. I have a few afls of my own and I also happen to have your supertrends 4.0.
I don’t have the capacity to buy datafeeds or amibroker. I will provide you a few afl codes, can you please backtest them on 5 min charts from 2009?
Please I request you as I find the afls interesting but have no way to verify them.
Go thro the webinar and get the idea of how to backtest on your own. http://www.marketcalls.in/amibroker/webinar-on-supertrend-and-filters.html
I know how to backtest. I do not have enough backfill data to do it which is why I am requesting you to backtest my afls. It hardly takes a few minutes.
Please help me out
I have observed gaps above or below prv day range, one shd play break of IB either direction them..theoretically once a instrument gaps up
1. Either is in long term player hands and will go up
2. Or short term guys will being it back to the range
Not knowing which is the case one cud play the IB both ways.
Could u run a back test on this?
Tks. Alok Jain
Mumbai 2014 batch
Running a backtest you will get weird result as the phenomenon looks random. However it can be played well with enough market profile knowledge and the gap trading rules.
Sir your lessions are very useful but is it possible to predict gap up or gap down for the next day opening at 9.16 am traded banknifty at 3.25 pm earlier day.?
you cannot predict such movements most of the time.