A lot of weird things happened during Wednesday trading session. Nifty Smallcap closed positive while Nifty Spot lost more than 150 pts. India VIX spiked above 18.12 levels.
Prevailing Italian crisis, USDINR Hitting all-time high, Weak Asian Markets & Brent crude near 85 USD per barrel. Nifty started underperforming Bank Nifty Futures largely due to Nifty Auto and Nifty IT sector as it is down 2.94 and 1.87 respectively. Two more trading days left for the RBI policy to kick start. Despite all these drama Nifty Futures ended as an Inside bar.
Very short-term sentiment went extreme (the green bars). Pointing to a very short-term trend reversal on Thursday trading at least at the open. Maybe the later part of the day might turn to lackluster trading day or a possible one more inside bar. Most of the shorter term traders are waiting for 200MA to hit. However on the longer timeframe, Nifty is still maintaining a sideways to downtrend
Indicator sentiment continues to be positive on the 2nd consecutive day despite a 150 point fall in Nifty Futures indicates a possibe sideways continuation for next two trading session. Open Interest data points look like the put writing is very much scattered around 10500 – 11000 levels indicates put writers are expecting volatility to iincrase further this week.
Overall still not a right zone for the naked option buyer or seller to take positional traders and neither the markets are bottomed out!