Nifty Futures continues to survive minor negative waves. The immediate short-term trend is positive with supports coming in 11713-11720 range. Global Markets sentiment ended moderately positive except the European indices on last Friday. Key economic indicator India Q1 GDP growth soars to a 9-quarter high of 8.2% Vs 7.7 Quarter-on-Quarter basis. This is the highest growth in two years and strongest since the first quarter of 2016.
Nifty Futures finds its resistance around 11505 levels and on Friday trading session both indicator and profile trading sentiment turned negative. Momentum sellers controlled the day which makes the trend positionally down towards the next stop zone 11386 and the previously unfilled gap reference 11180 and the G2 Low reference 11117 levels.
Every active stock market investor wants to know: Where are prices headed next? Most will scour the financial headlines, tune into financial television and talk to their broker or financial advisor in hopes of finding the answer. But, alas, this quest for market insight often leaves investors just as uncertain as before.
Markets are naturally designed to be rough & tough. However, not designed for linear logical thinking. Todays Trading session in Nifty and Bank Nifty Futures is clear example for how complex information we are dealing with.
Bank Nifty Futures consecutively making lower lows for the last 5 trading session on the daily charts. Price breaks the previous week low and in the last 1 hour of the trading session manage to close above friday low (Previous Week Low as well). Trading Sentiment continues to be negative as long as price holds below 25242 levels. Mondays price attempt closed the 1st Nov Gap.
Yet another 3 day balancing and slowly moving unproductive days for a positional trader in Nifty futures as it trades in 10360-10420 range for the last 3 trading sessions. Interestingly stops again got built around 10420 post todays panic intraday drop towards 10360 levels.
Last two days Nifty futures made a down swing of approximately 200 points (from 10530 to 10330 levels). Interestingly on the weekly charts nifty had made a outside bar with a low confidence breakout. It looked below the previous week low 10350 and failed to accept below previous week low on EOD basis.
Nifty found short term resistance around 10500 zone and currently in the phase of short term correction. Trading sentiment and profile sentiment both turned to negative mode which brings more downside pressure for nifty in the very near term. On the downside 10350 and 10248 are the two major focus levels to watch in the very short term.
Nifty done one more All time high in the start of the November series. Should have raised the eyebrows of every equity derivative trader. From the Daily trading sentiment perspective Nifty is holding the positive sentiment for the last 6 trading sessions. Trading Excitement is at the extreme for this series.
Nifty is trading around All time high. October Futures is more of one-sided movement with an approximate swing of 500+ points swing. The trading sentiment is holding positive across the timeframes (Daily, Weekly, Monthly). No weakness yet from the market internals perspective. Trading Positional Shorts could be still not a profitable one unless you understand the inventory conditions of the market participants.
Nifty Future is trading very close to the all time high with mixed trading sentiments from market profile and indicator which could eventually lead into a sideways to uptrend phenomenon. Market internals are increasingly holding positive and put writers are aggressively killing the option premium at 9800PE, 9900PE, 10000PE, 10100PE. Diwali’s emotional trading is overcome by the Monday’s price action.
Bank Nifty Futures is under performing Nifty futures since the start of the Oct 2017 Series. Bank Nifty made a month-to-date gain of 1.3% vs Nifty Futures month-to-date gain of 4.6%. Bank Nifty indicator Sentiment and profile sentiment turned negative recently.