Thought of titling “What could possibly go wrong with Nifty IT sector” – however, thought of let’s not get into overhype mode. By any means, IT is the hot sector in town. And the valuation of the counter is skyrocketing and investors are busy chasing the momentum.
Listen, IT is the hottest sector when USDINR is hitting the all-time high. pharmaceutical and information technology are the sectors which earn a big part of their revenues in dollars. Every dollar earned through exports means more money added to the bottom line. Year to Date Nifty IT Sector gained 36.4% and a whopping 700% returns since Feb 2009. But I’m here to tell that “you should always leave a party early when the sector is on steroids”.
A lot of weird things happened during Wednesday trading session. Nifty Smallcap closed positive while Nifty Spot lost more than 150 pts. India VIX spiked above 18.12 levels.
Prevailing Italian crisis, USDINR Hitting all-time high, Weak Asian Markets & Brent crude near 85 USD per barrel. Nifty started underperforming Bank Nifty Futures largely due to Nifty Auto and Nifty IT sector as it is down 2.94 and 1.87 respectively. Two more trading days left for the RBI policy to kick start. Despite all these drama Nifty Futures ended as an Inside bar.
Nifty IT (Previously CNX IT) hit is bear market low at 1992.8 on 6th March 2009 since then its journey towards the upside move had generated more than 5.5x returns in the last 6 years. But in the way of its bullish journey it left so many gaps open and remain unfaded. Total 11 gaps are yet to be faded as shown in the above charts. Gap reflects the emotions from the market participants.