Rolling returns, also known as moving returns, are returns over a period of time that are recalculated every time a new data point is added to the data set. For example, in a 10-year rolling return, the returns for the last 10 years would be calculated and updated every year, based on the latest available data.
Here is the simple AFL code to compute the 10 year rolling returns for any script. Generally, Rolling Returns are computed for 3yr, 5yr, 10yr period. Rolling Returns are basically a performance measure of fund/index/stock over a period of time. Above chart shows current 10 year rolling returns of Nifty at 7.47%.
Rolling Returns are nothing but the computation of Historical CAGR. The formula for the calculation of CAGR is shown below.
CAGR = [(Ending Price ÷ Beginning Price)^1/n] – 1
where CAGR – Compound Annual Growth Rate
where “n” is the number of time periods (10 years for this example)
Note : To Compute 10 Year Rolling Returns historical data of 10+ years adjusted to split/bonus is required incase of stocks.
Here is the AFL code to compute 10 Year Rolling Returns. Code is designed to adapt to multiple timeframes like Daily, Weekly, and Monthly however it is recommended to use weekly/monthly for better accuracy.
Amibroker AFL Code – 10-Year Rolling Returns
//AFL Code to Compute Rolling Returns
//Recommended to use it on Weekly/Monthly Charts with Historical Data more than 10 Years
//Minor Variations in the Rolling Returns might be there because of timeframe selection.
//Coded by Rajandran R - Author www.marketcalls.in
_SECTION_BEGIN("Rolling Returns");
SetChartOptions(0,chartShowArrows|chartShowDates);
Years = Param("Years", 10, 1, 50, 1 );
if(Interval() == inDaily)
{
// 250x10 == 2500 Days Rolling Returns Calculated. i.e 10 Years Rolling Returns calculated by default.
Plot( ((C/Ref(C,-Years*250))^(1/Years)-1)*100, _DEFAULT_NAME(), ParamColor( "Color", colorCycle ), ParamStyle("Style") );
}
if(Interval() == inWeekly)
{
// 52x10 == 52 Weeks Rolling Returns Calculated. i.e 10 Years Rolling Returns calculated by default.
Plot( ((C/Ref(C,-Years*52))^(1/Years)-1)*100, _DEFAULT_NAME(), ParamColor( "Color", colorCycle ), ParamStyle("Style") );
}
if(Interval() == inMonthly)
{
// 12x10 == 120 Months Rolling Returns Calculated. i.e 10 Years Rolling Returns calculated by default.
Plot( ((C/Ref(C,-Years*12))^(1/Years)-1)*100, _DEFAULT_NAME(), ParamColor( "Color", colorCycle ), ParamStyle("Style") );
}
_SECTION_END();
i added in ami formula but blank chart… why ?
Make sure you have 10 years+ historical data to get 10 Years rolling returns.
i’m using amibroker 4.80 & have data sinse 2003.
but getting error in Afl program writer ” Ln: 2, Col: 8 : error 30. Syntax error”
It is recommended to test with 5.5 version or above as some of the functions in the afl might not be compatible with older versions.
do you have an “exploration” version of the rolling average code?