Crude(25.03.2015) broken downside & traded lower towards $43 mark as mention in our last analysis. However the recovery was quite sharp to resistance zone once again.
Now crude is trading around $48.94 & as we can see on charts, its approaching to the broken tradeline of last symmetrical triangle pattern. This recovery seems to be a corrective one due to less volume & weak candlestick structure. However small timeframe charts showing some positivity but day & weekly charts are still bearish. To convert this rally into a reversal crude must provide a close above $55 mark otherwise a deeper fall may occur this time.
On fundamental side nothing have changed. Crude inventory & production still on higher levels while next OPEC meeting due on 5th june 2015 at Vienna, Austria is far away.
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Based on above studies, we will prefer to stay on sell side & may witness a fall back towards $44 mark & may be followed by $41 in coming weeks.
MCX -> S2(2810) S1(3020) cmp(3130) R1(3300) R2(3560)
Note – Above technical analysis is not a buy/sell recommendation. For recommendations you can connect with Mantra Commodities