Nifty cooled down a bit from the extreme bullish sentiment on wednesday trading which also closed the tuesday gap. Last 30min sell-off turned Nifty to a late spike on the downward. That triggered a sell mode in quick flip strategy with immediate resistance comes around 11727 levels. In a short term 11712 – 11727 needs to be monitored for the continuation of sell signal. As long as price stays below 11727 sell mode holds Nifty Futures.
Backtesting is a process of Testing the trading conditions with respect to the past historical data, evaluating not only the profitability of the system but the underlying risk factor associated with the Trading/Investing Model. Proper Backtesting gives belief and enough confidence to a trader to trade a set of rules. But are the newbie traders really doing proper backtesting?
Compared to Supertrend 3.0 with the new version two interesting features has been added. One is a simple EMA filter rule is added to Buy and Short Conditions and changes in the dashboard (included target levels in Supertrend Dashboard for discrete traders). And performance of Trading system is really interesting when comes to backtesting with Nifty and Bank Nifty Futures. Recorded Webinar of Supertrend and Filters posted down below.
Dow Theory is one of the most important trend following theories ever. As market evolved, the concepts of Technical analysis became more elaborated and complex, most essential foundation was forgotten in the Market literature.Even with much complexity nothing beats the Dow Theory on odds and logic. It’s around for over 100 years and still important as it is, even today
Here is the simple smoothed RSI crossover strategy can be practiced on higher timeframes especially with daily timeframes with controlled risk. It catches the big trends and gets little losses during sideways movement with a desecent amount of winning ratio. Strategy suits for Nifty and Bank Nifty future traders willing to take positional trades based on EOD chart.
Here is a simple visual Strategy comparison of Ichimoku Cloud Strategy Vs 13-13 Wilders MA Channel Trading strategy for Nifty. Of course 13-13 Wilders MA Channel Trading strategy yields better results since 2010. Charts are shown. But if the Signal Trend is going to be more trendier then most of the times Ichimoku gives signals earlier signal ( 2-4 bars earlier) when compared to the 13-13 Wilders MA Channel Trading system.
Though there is a final hour surge in nifty after expiry, ButStill the hourly strategy of both the NMA and Ichimoku remains with the sell signal with resistance coming near the 6030-6040(Approx) zone.