USDINR has an interesting monthly pattern. For 10 months in a row, it is one timeframing without breaking previous month lows that shows the confidence of larger timeframe players. It is a straight upward one-sided rally. All-time high comes around 74.528. Current swing move from 63.10 to 74.528 which is roughly 18% of swing move. The entire move comes from the year 2018 along.
October month started with high volatile movement in Nifty Futures where it swings between 10857 – 11090 during Monday trading session. But don’t be surprised with such sort of wild volatility swings. On the higher timeframe (Daily Charts) Nifty is still in a sideways mode as last 7 days in a row Nifty Spot tested 11000 levels regardless of where nifty went, which makes the positional trading difficult to hold on to your conclusions. Welcome to the psychological reference game.
Nifty futures bounced higher with short-term momentum players in control on Friday evening. Short term momentum play is witnessed at Friday low and 2 day high where momentum traders piled up at key reference levels 11464 and 11503. Immediate support zone comes around 11503 levels.
It is a volatile Thursday where Nifty futures traded in a sideways mode with increased volatility and wild swings and price manage to close around support zone 11545. Trading sentiment remain marginally elevated on the higher side with quick-flip strategy changed to positive mode around 2.20p.m.
Nifty Futures further extended the negative sentiment on Wednesday trading session tested an intraday low of 11437 followed by a sharp recovery. Yet another day momentum sellers controlled the day. Immediate quick flip support zones come around 11455 levels. Totally an emotional trading day witnessed among buyers and sellers.
Nifty futures Mondays weakness spilled into Tuesday’s session as well. Call writers at 11800 are stable for this series. Nifty managed to break and close down below previous week low 11613. Nifty Futures maintains positional sell mode with Immediate Quick Flip supports coming around 11573 – 11585 levels. Price holding above the support zone could bring a possible range bound action between 11573 – 11658 levels. However, momentum traders could step if price started accepting below 11573 levels.
Nifty Futures Monday opened with higher but with low enthusiasm despite good GDP numbers on last Friday evening. Quick Flip indicator turned to sell mode around 2.45 after price started sustaining below 11713 levels. Interestingly day topped out in the first minute of the trading with clearly momentum sellers pushing the price downside for the last two trading sessions showing sign of positional weakness.
Nifty Futures continues to survive minor negative waves. The immediate short-term trend is positive with supports coming in 11713-11720 range. Global Markets sentiment ended moderately positive except the European indices on last Friday. Key economic indicator India Q1 GDP growth soars to a 9-quarter high of 8.2% Vs 7.7 Quarter-on-Quarter basis. This is the highest growth in two years and strongest since the first quarter of 2016.
Quick Flip is an interesting short-term trend following trading system from marketcalls for identifying quick turns in the markets and to take faster trend decisions in identifying the short term support and resistance.
Tops down analysis indicating Monthly timeframe is balancing, Weekly timeframe is trending down and Daily timeframe is trending up. Kind of mixed timeframes which indicates that markets are in the phase of total uncertainty where most of the players opinion are not aligned in the same direction. Every timeframe has their own opinion about markets at current juncture.
USDJPY currently trading around 108.71 with relatively thin volumes as Japanese markets are in holiday and despite rising US Markets and 10-year note yield now at 2.90%, surpassing last week’s 4-year high. trading higher USDJPY pair is little changed from Fridays closing.
USDINR on the daily charts very recently turned to long term buy mode since 16th June 2014. Currently the EOD support comes near to 59.06. USDINR will turn to long term sell mode if the support levels breaks on the weekly charts.