Bullish Momentum in USDINR Kickstarted during the start of June 2018 and most likely to extend till the Sep 2018. USDINR also tested all-time high 70.89 on 14th Aug 2018. What is really missing compared to the majority of the EM Currencies is that Extreme bullish momentum seems to be missing thus far.
Wave of Tsunami in Turkish Lira
The Turkish lira fell to an all-time low against the dollar. The lira tumbled 15.63% against the dollar on friday to 6.4323 from the previous close. The currency — which has lost more than 40 per cent of its value this year — was 18.5 per cent lower at one point on Friday. Turkish stock market index – Borsa Istanbul 100 ended -2.23% at Friday close. Year to Date stock market index is down by 17.68%.
USDINR – Medium Term Technical Outlook
Just like any other Emerging Market currency – USDINR also depreciated since the start of the year 2018. The recent Debt crisis in Argentina, Turkey and Brazil. The unexpected lift in dollar US FED rates made dollar attractive and Emerging markets are witnessing a big EM assets outflow as global investors started pulling their money from Emerging Markets.
Things you need to Know about Cross Currency Derivatives
Both NSE & BSE received approval from SEBI to launch Cross Currency Derivative Pairs EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY. The trade timing in pair currency contracts would be available between 9:00 AM and 7:30 PM.
USDJPY – Short Term Bottom Done Despite Rising Yields?
USDJPY currently trading around 108.71 with relatively thin volumes as Japanese markets are in holiday and despite rising US Markets and 10-year note yield now at 2.90%, surpassing last week’s 4-year high. trading higher USDJPY pair is little changed from Fridays closing.
USDJPY – Short Term Bottom Done Again as Korean Fears Fade?
USDJPY tested April 2017 low on fears that Pyongyang (North Korea) would launch another missile test over the weekend, which had added to last Friday’s USDJPY selloff. Last friday Yen had made a low around 107.32 followed by a strong pullback on monday leaving a strong tail on the bar chart again. Its the second time the pattern is repeating on north korea fears with a short term trade setup.
EURUSD Trend Overview for July 2017
EURUSD on the monthly timeframe trading in a larger balance between 1.0482 and 1.145 (rough estimate) since the start of 2015. Its been more than 2 years and EURUSD is trading is the tighter range on the larger timeframe. Now EURUSD is trading at the edge of the top balance. In the last view on EURUSD we viewed 1.0651 as a critical support zone for the uptrend to continue
EURUSD Trend Overview for April 2017
EURUSD on the monthly timeframe trading in a larger balance between 1.0482 and 1.145 (rough estimate) since the start of 2015. Its been more than 2 years and EURUSD is trading is the tighter range on the larger timeframe. On the lower side 1.048 offers a longterm support which is also the bottom of the balance. Highly compressed trading activity is seen in the last 4-5 trading months
EURUSD Outlook – Euro Traders Await the Fed
The EUR/USD consolidated its recent gains following a surge in the exchange rate in the wake of the ECB meeting. While the central bank mostly stuck to the script, keeping rates unchanged and QE in place, it did strike a more neutral stance but this will come slowly over a long period of time. Draghi, shrugged off the recent increases in inflation as transitory, and believes there is a need for the current stimulus to remain intact.
EURUSD Forming W Pattern – Short term Outlook – FEB 2017
EURUSD is consolidating on the monthly and Weekly timeframe and negative sentiment prevail there. However on the Daily charts trading sentiment turned positive. Since the start of FEB 2017 EURUSD is in declining mode and so far twice EURUSD rallied from the intermediate lows formed around 1.0500 levels. It could act as a potential support zone in the upcoming day.
Will the Dollar Get Weaker Under President Trump’s Administration?
Since 2014, the Dollar has increased by 25% against a basket of major currencies. After President Trump’s election, the value of the greenback has risen by about 3%, but his recent comment questioning the wisdom of maintaining a “strong Dollar” seems to have put pressure on the USD, which so far has been in the red in 2017.
GBPUSD Long Term Trend Reversal in Play?
Pound is trading around 1.2494 and currently monthly sentimental RSI turned positive and likely to continue positive in the long term. It had almost taken 7 months for the sentiment to change positive since BR Exit. The Transition of sentiment from Red to Yellow color indicates positive trend reversal and the trend change is likely to be long term.
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