Nifty Pharma one the most hated sector in this bull market for a variety of reasons. The number one reason is negative returns since Apr 2015. Till now index had lost a maximum of 42.28% from its peak. Which is very close to the drawdown during the 2008-2009 crisis period. During 2008-2009 economic crisis period Nifty Pharma had made an extreme drawdown of 44% from its peak.
Poor Structure in Nifty futures that the regular daily structure last couple of days indicating that more of emotional shorter term players are reacting to every tiny news information very emotionally. However, there is a lack of serious money last couple of days keeping the market in a 200 point tight range since 25th May 2018.
We know that S&P 500 Index Futures (ES-Mini) and Crude Oil is correlated most of the time at lower timeframes. But recently the correlation seems to be missing between the two, where the ES Mini started rallying and the oil started dropping below sub 66 levels that make me write about the correlation relationship between the two.
Equity Drawdown is a measure from the peak-to-trough decline during a specific recorded period of a stock/index/commodity/currency. A drawdown is usually quoted as the percentage between the peak and the subsequent trough. Red Area Charts represents the Drawdown of that particular trading instrument/index. Recent value always informs how much the trading instrument is off from […]
Highest Open Interest among option strike price is the widely used terminology to identify where most of the liquidity flow happens i.e where more of the writers and buyers willing to hang around. Is there we can get any meaningful & real intelligence from such information that is the curiosity it makes me to collect historical highest open interest for all the stock futures price using python (my team had built me a simple app which does that little work) and used plot.ly for visualization.
Do simple strategies really work in Indian Markets? This curiosity arises when one of our Amibroker Mumbai Participant comes up with a simple trading strategy. Hence the tutorial series, Do Simple Strategies Really Works?. This tutorial series explores the space of simple rules, easy to practice, easy to adapt and the to explore if there is any real edge with the simple rules.
Nifty Futures during May series ended marginally negative despite news factors like Karnataka hung assembly, EM Currency crisis, Italy Crisis. Year to date Nifty is up by 1.7%. The first half of the June Expiry series trading could be in the range of 10600-10800 range. Volatility Index (India VIX) also trading below sub 14 levels indicating a muted trend in the near future.
The great game of Wall Street — where huge amounts of money are at stake every trading day. Many speculators play this game by watching for events outside of the stock market that they believe will “trigger” the next big move in prices.
Nifty Futures on Friday’s trading session again bounced back above important and critical reference 10564 (Double distribution reference). Thursday’s and Friday’s trading session involve more of a old money covering their shorts rather than a fresh buying. That brings the question is the inventory adjustment is over as short term inventory when short to too short on Wednesday’s trading.
Nifty Futures started its liquidation phase since the start of Karnataka election results. Clients are liquidating their major long positions and parallelly PRO+DII+CLI also exiting their shorts positions. Most of those long liquidations so far resulted in a net negative trend.
Nifty Futures on Wednesday trading session exactly respected at the Tuesdays prominent POC and also selling continued at days open. Day ended with a spike with a poor structure combination indicating a potential pullback towards 10540 levels as the short term trading inventory goes short to too short. Current swing low is not secured yet (will be revisited in a very shorter term).
In the financial markets, often a set of market participants keep on adding long inventory of a particular trading instrument during bull markets (long inventory pile up phase) over a period of time. At times the long inventory goes to the extreme which is often followed by the liquidation of those piled up inventories (liquidation phase). It is a trading good practice to understand which participants are piling inventories and who in the markets are cutting down their inventories.