Nifty Futures quick flip is currently in sell mode with immediate resistance comes around 10103 and 10132 levels. The strategy remains in positional sell as long as both the resistance level holds. Breaking above 10132 quick flip could switch to positional buy mode targetting 10400 levels. Trading sentiment holds negative on the daily and weekly timeframe. Any positive flip requires nifty to sustain above 10103 levels.
Market Generated Information is the key to better market understanding which tracks what out competition is doing and how dumb they really are. This tutorial explains how we can understand the market behavior with emotional players and how to they react and how we can spot them using market profile. As always market profile is not a trading strategy but a completely a different way of looking into markets, in fact, I call it as radical thinking.
Nifty spot bounced of from 3rd Standard deviation extreme band signs of caution for positional shorts out there as it historically indicates a kind of oversold markets with a greater odds of a bounce back in the short to medium term. Lack of sellers confidence is an opportunity to fade those sellers in a very short term. Current extreme indications come around -7.4.
Wednesday’s profile structure is interesting as it turns out to be a classical trend day. On a Down Trend day market one timeframe lower without breaking the previous bar high. i.e making lower high on a 30min charts. Once the one timeframing broke on Wednesday trading in Nifty Futures.
Are you lost in your world of thoughts about the market? Your open positions, economic concerns are flashing through your mind very frequently. You might be thinking whether the market bottomed out, where the next support/resistance is, which stock one can pick up from these oversold markets, which stock can bring quick returns, where the best trading opportunity is, where the market could go next and arrays of thoughts might be running through your mind right now.
USDINR has an interesting monthly pattern. For 10 months in a row, it is one timeframing without breaking previous month lows that shows the confidence of larger timeframe players. It is a straight upward one-sided rally. All-time high comes around 74.528. Current swing move from 63.10 to 74.528 which is roughly 18% of swing move. The entire move comes from the year 2018 along.
In theory, island gap reversals are nothing but a gap closed by another gap. No volume occurs in this zone. This zone is a high probability short term zone. At times it gives trading opportunities and at times it even provides investing odds as well where the destination target is always the filling of the gap.
Listen, IT is the hottest sector when USDINR is hitting the all-time high. pharmaceutical and information technology are the sectors which earn a big part of their revenues in dollars. Every dollar earned through exports means more money added to the bottom line. Year to Date Nifty IT Sector gained 36.4% and a whopping 700% returns since Feb 2009. But I’m here to tell that “you should always leave a party early when the sector is on steroids”.
A lot of weird things happened during Wednesday trading session. Nifty Smallcap closed positive while Nifty Spot lost more than 150 pts. India VIX spiked above 18.12 levels.
Prevailing Italian crisis, USDINR Hitting all-time high, Weak Asian Markets & Brent crude near 85 USD per barrel. Nifty started underperforming Bank Nifty Futures largely due to Nifty Auto and Nifty IT sector as it is down 2.94 and 1.87 respectively. Two more trading days left for the RBI policy to kick start. Despite all these drama Nifty Futures ended as an Inside bar.
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October month started with high volatile movement in Nifty Futures where it swings between 10857 – 11090 during Monday trading session. But don’t be surprised with such sort of wild volatility swings. On the higher timeframe (Daily Charts) Nifty is still in a sideways mode as last 7 days in a row Nifty Spot tested 11000 levels regardless of where nifty went, which makes the positional trading difficult to hold on to your conclusions. Welcome to the psychological reference game.
Nifty futures on the daily timeframe shows extreme indications as it tested the 3 Standard deviation band on Thursday, September expiry day. Sideways to short-term pullbacks are expected if Nifty Futures is able to hold quick flip short-term support zone 10959 level.