Nifty Futures closed at all time high on Thursdays trading session. However still the overall market is in short term balance between 9300-9380 range since 26th Apr 2017 and consolidating for the last 6 trading sessions. Nothing much changed from the last top down analysis on nifty futures. Volatility in the market remains muted and banknifty is outperforming nifty future heavily in the past few trading sessions.
Price managed to close at 5 day breakout and breakout is not aggressive though. However it is able to marginally break above previous weekly and monthly high.
Nifty Futures – Market Profile
On Thursdays trading session price opens within the previous days range and we had seen a nice balanced profile with value area and Point of Control shifted higher. Though price ended higher, POC failed to migrate higher along with price which indicates that we are dealing with short term inventory went from long to too long.
Thursdays trading Nifty Futures failed to accept below the prev days POC at 9340 followed by stop hunting in the second half of the market. It is natural for the market to show stop hunting especially when the day timeframe speculators are coming and dominating/competing in this market.
Key Trading References
1)All time high/Monthly High/Weekly High 9384
2)Prev Week High – 9380
3)Prominent POC on 3rd May – 9340
4)Halfback reference – p357
4)Gap Top at 9267
5)Gap Bottom at 9260.
1)Price opens gap down as the inventory went from high to too high. This could bring some correction towards 9260-9267 zone.
2)Price opens below the Prominent POC and acceptance below 9340 could again bring some correction towards 9260-9267 zone.
3)Price opens gaps up with some more last minute momentum traders left in the system. Price could look above the short-term balance and fail. This scenario
will target nifty towards the other side of the balance – 9300 ZONE.