Any trader of foreign currencies likely understands the influence that both local and international politics have on currency values. Successful online forex trading involves following the changes and trends that are taking place across the globe, and making the right trades at opportune moments to capitalize on changes of currency values.
Interesting Development happening in Bank Nifty Futures on the daily charts. Bank Nifty Futures had broken the 15 days of consolidation movement with a strong breakout and also close below the bottom of the consolidation zone 18760. This post is to analyze whether the breakout is really strong or not. Market Sentiment is really negative and the last fridays sentiment continued on monday as well.
Lets understand the price movement of Nifty Future charts on 21st Sep 2016 and lets try to understand how the liquidity hunt happened. Nifty Futures opened within previous days range and started moving up unidirectional in the first 90min which also broken 2 day high followed by sideways action till 12:45p.m. The sideways action is followed by a sharp selloff in the noon session triggering huge volume at the bottom.
The Bloomberg Tradebook Trader Exercise has been designed by The ReThink Group to assist traders in practicing the thinking style. This mind game can be accessed over the web and bloomberg terminal. Ironically, brain and behavioral research shows that the markets only masquerade as a numbers game. They are actually a game that neuroeconomists have called “intentional social risk”.
Introducing LinTRA – Linear Regression based Intraday trading system designed to trade high volatile scrips. It is simple but a responsive trading strategy looks for a breakout entry and breakout exit trades. Trading system is totally non repainting and trading decisions are taken realtime rather than waiting for the close of the bar or waiting for the next bar to open.
Nifty Futures opened gap down and made a island reversal pattern on Monday. Though it is a classical bearish pattern,markets generally reacts against the classical technique most of the time. Trading Sentiment is negative and after the Monday’s impact on markets expectation on the psychological figure 9000 reduced.
There are events like Union Budget 2016,BR-Exit where the downtrend was imminent followed by the faster recovery and in most of the panic situations recovery was faster than we think. And there are times where we face slower markets. One of the problem we face in today’s trading world is market changes its opinion faster than a human mindset and there are times it frustrates a traders and changes its opinions slower than we think.
For many people price by itself not a key factor while making a purchase decision. No one will be buy a house or mobile phone just because of the price tag. Most of us understand the value (i.e offerings, features, benefits) before making any purchase decision and not solely based on product price. While making a purchase decision price is one of several variables which attracts buyers to evaluate when they mentally assess a product’s overall value.
If you frequently track gap in Nifty (Spot) you would understand that there are so far 10 unfaded gaps since the start of March 2016. Current leg of rally is almost 8 months old and during this leg we had hardly made only 2 gap downs, 19 gap ups and 10 unfaded gap ups. which indicates that we are in a emotional buyers market.
In the last week we had seen aggressive short covering from shorter timeframe sellers followed by lack of momentum post the breakout of 8800 zone. In the last three days again we started making fresh three day consolidation in the range 8800-8860 zone indicating that trend is getting tired and whomever trading this zone is most likely dominated by shorter timeframe buyers
Understanding who is dominating the market on a given day gives fair advantage and plays a crucial role in deciding trading strategy and executing the strategy at the better price. When the market participants behavior changes one can continually readjust his strategy and change his/her tactics depending upon who is in control.