It is observed that Sensex is relatively having momentum build up and likely to enter from improving quadrant to leading quadrant which indicates out performance compared to the benchmark index S&P 500. Rest of the other markets are relatively pose a falling momentum. Brazil Bovespa this week moved into the weakening quadrant indicating the possibilities of under performance. Shangai SSEC showing under performance so far with stable momentum.
Sensex in February month had lost almost 6.9% and this is the 6th consecutive month sensex is making lower lows and lower highs. And the current down slide from OCT 2015 had left 4 gaps left unfilled in Sensex around 27318, 25357, 24196, 23361. So are we testing the first gap zone 23361 this Budget 2016?
Daily Sentiment is Positive in Nifty futures and in Bank Nifty futures. However RBI policy announcement on 4th Aug will dictate the trend. Any Interest rate cut might induce negative sentiment in the markets. Net FII (FPI) investment in Equity market stood at 5,319 crore in July. It should be noted that FPI are net sellers and pulled 9112 crores from equity market during the month of May and June 2015.
It is interesting to note that DII’s are relentlessly buying the equity market right from 12th June 2015 despite Greece Exit fears, Global Meltdown and Indian Market seems to be resilient to such macro events. Monday panic gap down in Nifty Index countered by late session rally on both monday and tuesday.
Nifty futures tested a low of 8001.1 on tuesday follow by a recovery very next day. The hourly timeframe in both nifty futures and bank nifty futures turned to buy mode in the second half of the yesterdays trading session. Currently the support zone comes around 8018 and 17436 respectively. Trend could reverse if the support zone breaks on the hourly charts on closing basis.
Last Friday NSE Equity market turnover is on record volumes trades at more than Rs 43,621 crore. Previous high in equity market segment was Rs 41,113 crore hit on April 21 this year. Nifty Index and Bank Nifty Index made a big comeback on last trading day with bigger gain and made a weekly returns of -0.3% and 1.48% respectively.
The Nifty Futures and Bank Nifty Futures continued to move up last week, gaining 2.2% and 1.0% respectively on close. And Bank Nifty is relatively under-performing in the recent uptrend. However this may so far foreign investors are relentlessly selling in equity market and Debt Market and had pulled out more than Rs 14,000 crore. The Outflow of Debt Market is far steeper than Equity Market.
Budget 2015 event is nearing and it is time to study which is the best sector to invest. We use RRG Graph to study the Relative Study and Relative momentum with Indian sectors using S&P Nifty as benchmark index. This video tutorial will provide you interesting insights about RRG Study and it attempts to identify the strong sectors with strong momentum. And also we study we are the sector to avoid investing in the near term.