Nifty Futures quick flip holding its buy mode since last two trading sessions current supports are coming around thin band of 10671 – 10678 levels. Short term sentiments are expected to change only if Nifty breaking and sustaining below the thin band of support levels. Near term resistance is expected around 10800 levels in Nifty Spot. Aggressive call writing is seen from the market participants in the last week.
Nifty is still trading in a 10500 – 10640 consolidation range where quick flip strategy turned to sell mode around 10587 and it continues to be in the sell mode with immediate resistance coming around 10510 – 10523 band in a very short term. Momentum selling stays as long as price stays below 10510-10523 band stays. The Next destination target is to look 10350 levels.
Quick Flip continues to be in positive mode since 31st Oct with immediate supports coming around 10610. Momentum continues in the market as long as Nifty holds above 10610. If one has to trade the weakness, a sustainable move below 10610 is required that could trigger the downside key reference levels 10500 and 10345 levels in Nifty Futures in short term.
Nifty Futures quick flip is continuing its uptrend since 31st Oct 2018 onwards so far current buy signal completed 6 trading session or 1785 minutes. Comparing with the historical holding period (2011-2018) for Nifty futures quick flip had 74 occurrences out of 1142 trade where its holding period exceeded beyond 1750 minutes.
Nifty Futures quick flip is in buy mode since 31st Oct and more amount of time is spent in that signal. Current immediate resistance comes around 10615 levels with a possible short-term move towards 10480 levels. For any positive momentum to occur price need to scale back above 10615 levels. Daily Trading sentiment holds positive.
Nifty Futures quick flip is currently in sell mode with immediate resistance comes around 10103 and 10132 levels. The strategy remains in positional sell as long as both the resistance level holds. Breaking above 10132 quick flip could switch to positional buy mode targetting 10400 levels. Trading sentiment holds negative on the daily and weekly timeframe. Any positive flip requires nifty to sustain above 10103 levels.
Nifty spot bounced of from 3rd Standard deviation extreme band signs of caution for positional shorts out there as it historically indicates a kind of oversold markets with a greater odds of a bounce back in the short to medium term. Lack of sellers confidence is an opportunity to fade those sellers in a very short term. Current extreme indications come around -7.4.
Wednesday’s profile structure is interesting as it turns out to be a classical trend day. On a Down Trend day market one timeframe lower without breaking the previous bar high. i.e making lower high on a 30min charts. Once the one timeframing broke on Wednesday trading in Nifty Futures.
In theory, island gap reversals are nothing but a gap closed by another gap. No volume occurs in this zone. This zone is a high probability short term zone. At times it gives trading opportunities and at times it even provides investing odds as well where the destination target is always the filling of the gap.
A lot of weird things happened during Wednesday trading session. Nifty Smallcap closed positive while Nifty Spot lost more than 150 pts. India VIX spiked above 18.12 levels.
Prevailing Italian crisis, USDINR Hitting all-time high, Weak Asian Markets & Brent crude near 85 USD per barrel. Nifty started underperforming Bank Nifty Futures largely due to Nifty Auto and Nifty IT sector as it is down 2.94 and 1.87 respectively. Two more trading days left for the RBI policy to kick start. Despite all these drama Nifty Futures ended as an Inside bar.
October month started with high volatile movement in Nifty Futures where it swings between 10857 – 11090 during Monday trading session. But don’t be surprised with such sort of wild volatility swings. On the higher timeframe (Daily Charts) Nifty is still in a sideways mode as last 7 days in a row Nifty Spot tested 11000 levels regardless of where nifty went, which makes the positional trading difficult to hold on to your conclusions. Welcome to the psychological reference game.
Nifty futures on the daily timeframe shows extreme indications as it tested the 3 Standard deviation band on Thursday, September expiry day. Sideways to short-term pullbacks are expected if Nifty Futures is able to hold quick flip short-term support zone 10959 level.