Nifty Futures – Quick Flip Analysis
Quick Flip continues to be in positive mode since 31st Oct with immediate supports coming around 10610. Momentum continues in the market as long as Nifty holds above 10610. If one has to trade the weakness, a sustainable move below 10610 is required that could trigger the downside key reference levels 10500 and 10345 levels in Nifty Futures in short term.
As per the last discussion looking into the historical distribution of holding period, Quick-Flip current positive mode is 2165 minutes old. Comparing with the historical holding period (2011-2018) for Nifty futures quick flip had 42 occurrences out of 1142 trade where its holding period exceeded beyond 2165 minutes.
Going by the data points there is only 3.6% of odds that this long setup is likely to continue and higher possibilities i.e 96.4% odds that mean reversion is likely.
Daily Sector Analysis
After a mass sentimental change on 29th Oct there is a significant shift in the weakness in most of the sectoral counters. Out of the 28 indices that we are tracking 11 turned negative in the short term. That spells trouble in the short term.
Weekly Sector Sentiment
Weekly Sentiment is absolutely strong indicating continuation of the medium-term uptrend.