Nifty recovered all the correction made during the first four days of the week on friday’s trading session. After opening at 8769 it was just a one way move slow and steady and picking up pace in the later half of the day making intraday high of 8900 and the closing at 8889.95 almost near the highest point of the day.
Week starting from Monday 23 Feb,2015 is going to be an event driven week for indian stock market since we are going to have the Budget from Modi Government and all the expectations, surprises & speculations of whats going to happen with regards to the policies or laws or rebates will come to an end after the whole budget is out and open before the market players and public.
Banknifty future from chart above looks like making a head and shoulder formation which is in its last leg of forming the right shoulder (which it should, to become a valid pattern). As per the chart above 19450 is tough line of resistance for bulls only once this level is sustained close basis the next up leg shall begin, till that the bank nifty is sell on rally and around 19000 there is a strong support from where it becomes a buy towards this resistance again.
The nifty future broke out of the linear regression channel and closed above the same. The short term moving average has also given the crossover over the medium term moving average. Daily RSI bounced strongly from 45 to now trading at 61.18 with a positive momentum in favor of the bulls.
Nifty Future has had seven consecutive down close days followed by a uptrend and short term trend is definitely down. The major support area is now at 8550. This is 50% retracement level from the previous lows of the trend as same can be seen from chart above.
Nifty future closed the week on a very weak note. After the one way rally from past couple weeks of January series nifty future was looking tired and consolidating around 8800 to 9000 range. last whole week the market tried to hold above 8800 levels and tested 9000+ intraday highs on friday before sliding up towards 8900 and lower.
Positive surprise from RBI was welcomed by market players and nifty future opened huge gap up in past week on Thursday trading session.From chart above one can clearly see the nifty future took support on the trendline after the breakout and is now trading well above the same. Momentum indicator is also signs of positive uptrend in short and medium term. The volume is also supporting the chart since the triangle breakout was on higher volume.
If Nifty Future remains below 8295 Future level the bears are in control and market is weak for more correction. The supports at 8180 and 8060 the upside potential will open up once nifty future sustains above 8295 this will make bears exit the shorts and above 8370 we expect a big rally again to begin.
As analysed and shared in previous weekly report the short term trend for market is down and its been a sell on rally since it broke the levels of 8550. This past week nifty future faced extreme selling pressure and closed the week at 8276.90 after making low 8266 just around the closing point of the week. This indicates further bearishness in the markets.
Nifty future made low 8540 and closed the week at 8582.55 Till if remains below 8630 the short term trend will remain down. The next support for the market is at 8530 below which expect correction up to 8420. The weekly trend for nifty turned negative. The momentum indicator RSI has also turned downwards direction.
Nifty future again breaks out on fridays trading session and made life time highs at 8668 and closed the week at 8638.35. Momentum indicator RSI has turned upwards again. Stochastics oscillator also showing signs of positive momentum and with price action as seen on fridays bulls are in full control.
Nifty Future November Series closed on strong notes on Friday’s trading session. After opening at 8420.50 it made lows of 8412 Nifty Future moved sharply up side on higher volume to make intraday high of 8512.90, A move of 100 points from lows nifty shut the shop for the day at close 8492.