April Expiry is near and so lot of expectation from the trading community. India VIX jumped to 24 levels however markets are still moving a very narrow range for this expiry. Nothing much really happened since the start of April Expiry. So far the entire expiry traded in 250 point range i.e less than 2.5%
Nifty Futures inventory went long to too long on last Friday. At the Monday open, trading confidence is initially low. Trading confidence is low even after the initial – 2 day breakout with a partial gap fill. However during mid of the day,, one timeframing against the Initial Balance direction is where exactly high confidence sellers started taking control and pressed the price towards the Prominent POC of control 10940 levels.
It was a crazy volatile week. Nifty Futures done a descent recovery from the attempted downtrend twice in Dec 2017. Every Major 300+ points corrections got bought in December expiry so far. Lets understand the state of the market to get a fresh short term outlook.
Nifty Futures is trading in the new territory and also hits all time high on friday trading session. This time weekly sentiment turned positive and interestingly market internals are holding positive and put writers are aggressively killing the option premium at 9800PE, 9900PE, 10000PE, 10100PE. None of the call writers are aggressive for this series despite the global events like North Korea Threat, China downgrade and local events like surgical strike, Fitch downgrading India’s growth forecast to 6.9 per cent.
Here is the quick update on the Market Profile – Key reference levels in Nifty Future December Contract. If you are very new to market profile then it is recommended to start reading the basics of market profile.