Geopolitical tensions escalated following the drone attack on two Saudi Aramco installations Abqaiq and Khurais. Yemen’s Iran-allied Houthi rebels have claimed responsibility warning Saudi Arabia that their targets “will keep expanding”.
October included a market phenomenon that left many economists and commentators scratching their heads. US stocks and oil prices both dropped simultaneously. In fact, it was the worst month for oil in 2 years and the worst month for S&P 500 in over 7 years. What was the “phenomenon”? Well, conventional wisdom says that rising oil prices are bearish for stocks. So, how could falling oil prices also be bearish for stocks?
WTIC Crude in the International market had lost more than 24% in the last two months due to too many negative factors. WTIC crude oil dips below $55 to its lowest level in a year, extending a record losing streak. Sentiment went really extreme negative when US President Donald Trump tweeted “Hopefully, Saudi Arabia and OPEC will not be cutting oil production. Oil prices should be much lower based on supply!”
Nymex Crude is showing a short term consolidation on the hourly timeframe with divergence witnessed when fisher transform is applied over the chart. Daily Trade Sentiment turned positive which could bring imminent short term up move.