What is Quick Flip?
Quick Flip is an interesting short-term trend following trading system for identifying quick turns in the markets and to take faster trend decisions in identifying the short-term support and resistance.
Strategy comes with Buy & sell Indications. Green Arrow indicates Buy Signal and Red Arrow indicates Sell Signal. Green Bars indicate a bullish trend, red bars indicate a bearish trend, grey bars indicates neutral bars.
The primary objective of the Quickflip trend following system is to capture the positional trends and bringing consistency in return and optimal stop loss from the quick flip levels itself thereby maximizing the overall gain of the portfolio.
What is a Trend Following System?
According to Wikipedia, Trend following or trend trading is a trading strategy according to which one should buy an asset when its price trend goes up, and sell when its trend goes down, expecting price movements to continue.
Traders who employ a trend-following strategy do not aim to forecast or predict specific price levels; they simply jump on the trend (when they perceived that a trend has been established with their own peculiar reasons or rules) and ride it.
Backtesting Performance
In order to test the system parameters following parameters are used
| Parameters | Value |
| Trading Instrument | Nifty Futures |
| Backtesting Timeframe | 5min timeframe (Continous Data) |
| Backtest Length | Jan 2011 – Jul 2021 |
| Strategy Type | Volatility based Trend Following (Positional) |
| Position Size | 2 Lakhs (Max Position Value) |
| Slippage + Commissions | 0.02% |
| Trading Capital | RS 4,00,000 |
| Current Trading Margin as of 6th Aug 2021 | Rs 1,64,432/Lot or 18.23% NRML Margin |
| Preferred Execution Type | Market Order |
| Fixed Stoploss | Nil |
| Fixed Target | 5.0% |
| Signals in Futures and Execution in Options | Yes Possible |
| Which Option Strike to Select | 4 Strike ITM (Ensure Sufficient Liquidity is available) |
Rough Theoretical Brokerage Charges involved in a typical Buy and Sell Transaction with Bank Nifty at 16,000 levels
| Parameters | Value |
| Total Turnover | Rs 1600000 (Buy Side + Sell Side) |
| Brokerage | Rs 40 |
| STT total | Rs 88 |
| Exchange txn charge | Rs 35 |
| Clearing charge | RS 0 |
| GST | Rs 13.5 |
| SEBI charges | Rs 1.75 |
| Stamp duty | RS 17.45 |
| Total Charges | Rs 195.75 (0.011%) |
| Points to breakeven | 3.83 points |
Backtesting Results
Key Backtesting Performance Metrics
| Key Performance Metrics | Value |
| Sharp Ratio | 0.99 |
| Max System Drawdown | 2.42L/lot (unhedged risk) |
| Calmar Ratio (CAR/MDD) | 0.82 |
| Recovery Factor | 9.53 |
| Profit Factor | 1.3 |
| Payoff Ratio | 2.24 |
| Risk-Reward Ratio | 0.89 |
Trading Parameters
| Parameters | Values |
| Length1 | 100 |
| Length 2 | 200 |
Equity Curve
Drawdown Curve (Absolute Drawdown in rupee terms)
Profit Table (Absolute PNL) in thousands
