Lintra V3 – Linear Regression-Based Volatility Trading System

What is Lintra V3?

Lintra V3 – is a linear regression-based trend following an intraday trading system to trade in Bank Nifty (Futures and Options Trades). It is a simple volatility-based breakout trading system to take advantage of intraday price action moves.

The primary objective of the Lintra V3 trend following system is to capture the intraday trends and bringing consistency in return and reduce the risk with fixed percentage stop loss and optimal stop loss from the Lintra v3 band itself thereby maximizing the overall gain of the portfolio.

What is a Trend Following System?

According to Wikipedia, Trend following or trend trading is a trading strategy according to which one should buy an asset when its price trend goes up, and sell when its trend goes down, expecting price movements to continue.

Traders who employ a trend-following strategy do not aim to forecast or predict specific price levels; they simply jump on the trend (when they perceived that a trend has been established with their own peculiar reasons or rules) and ride it.

Backtesting Performance

In order to test the system parameters following parameters are used

ParametersValue
Trading InstrumentBank Nifty Futures
Backtesting Timeframe5min timeframe (Continous Data)
Backtest LengthJan 2011 – Jul 2021
Strategy TypeVolatility based Trend Following
Position Size2 Lakhs (Max Position Value)
Slippage + Commissions0.02%
Trading CapitalRS 4,00,000
Current Trading Margin as of 6th Aug 2021Rs 1,64,432/Lot or 18.23% NRML Margin
Preferred Execution TypeEntry Limit Order and Exit Market Order
Fixed Stoploss 1.5%
Fixed Target5.0%
Signals in Futures and Execution in OptionsYes Possible
Which Option Strike to Select4 Strike ITM (Ensure Sufficient Liquidity is available)

Rough Theoretical Brokerage Charges involved in a typical Buy and Sell Transaction with Bank Nifty at 35,000 levels

ParametersValue
Total Turnover Rs 1750000 (Buy Side + Sell Side)
BrokerageRs 40
STT totalRs 88
Exchange txn chargeRs 35
Clearing chargeRS 0
GSTRs 13.5
SEBI chargesRs 1.75
Stamp dutyRS 17.45
Total ChargesRs 195.75 (0.011%)
Points to breakeven7.83 points

Backtesting Results

Key Backtesting Performance Metrics

Key Performance MetricsValue
Sharp Ratio1.08
Max System Drawdown1.74L/lot (unhedged risk)
Calmar Ratio (CAR/MDD)0.79
Recovery Factor10.90
Profit Factor1.16
Payoff Ratio1.53
Risk-Reward Ratio0.62

Trading Parameters

ParametersValues
Channel Length110

Equity Curve

Drawdown Curve (Absolute Drawdown in rupee terms)

Profit Table (Absolute PNL)