Here are the 4 visible signs (Volatility Sentiment, Magazine Indicator, COT Percentile , Gold Oil Ratio) we look into it to predict the possible bottom in Crude.
Nifty futures tested a low of 8001.1 on tuesday follow by a recovery very next day. The hourly timeframe in both nifty futures and bank nifty futures turned to buy mode in the second half of the yesterdays trading session. Currently the support zone comes around 8018 and 17436 respectively. Trend could reverse if the support zone breaks on the hourly charts on closing basis.
Willam VIX FIX study has been applied over the daily and weekly charts of Nifty futures. And VIX FIX turning down from the peak indicate a possible bottom is already in place. On the weekly charts Nifty futures has to maintain 5197 Weekly 5EMA low as support on weekly basis. And the 5EMA High weekely levels are at 8483.
Was just going thro QUSMA blog on Equity Returns Following Extreme VIX and William VIX FIX Movements. And couple of peoples are throwing ideas on implementing the strategy with percentile rank function. The same discussion also happening in Quantopian Community which inspired me to code the strategy for Nifty Futures
Nifty Futures 10 day autocorrelation turned negative for the last two days also the smooth oscillator holding near oversold zone which indicates possible mean reversion trades in nifty futures with high probability. Also looks like William VIX FIX is reversing from the peak. So very short term players can play all the long signals in the lower timeframe. And higher timeframe players can hold their longs as long the 10 day autocorrelation turns positive or the William fix started raising on the EOD charts.