The Federal Reserve announced last month that they would start to reduce their $4.5 trillion balance sheet in October, thereby starting the process we call Quantitative Tightening (QT). As expected, they are aiming to do it gently and quietly, by not reinvesting bonds as they mature, starting with sums of around $6 billion of Treasuries and $4 billion in Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS). The scale of non-reinvestment will gradually increase. Once in full swing, the Fed’s balance sheet could reduce by up to $150 billion each quarter.
Here at Ellliotwave International we studied investors behavior for nearly 40 years. A huge benefit of all that study is being able to study today’s stock market to the major market market tops and bottoms of the past. This Mutual Fund Vs Money Market Ratio ( 30 years of historical chart) shows extreme sentimental indications which shows how riskier the investments in today’s stock market compared to 2000 and 2008.
In 2013, our chief commodity analyst Jeffrey Kennedy co-authored an invaluable resource titled “Visual Guide to Elliott Wave Trading” in which he explained how combining Elliott analysis with technical methods enables traders to identify price action moving with, and against the larger trend.
The market itself provides its own clues about its future price action. One such clue is found in higher-beta small cap stocks vs. lower-beta blue chips. Get our take.
We all love a bargain… Except when it comes to stocks. The reason boils down to uncertainty. We know what our fruits and vegetables should cost at the grocer’s — but we’re far less certain about how much to pay for a blue-chip stock or shares in an S&P 500 Index fund.
Stock picking is losing favor. On the other hand, passive investing is growing in popularity. This fits with the stock market’s Elliott wave pattern. The mania is not over, but the end might be closer than many investors realize
Our friends at Elliott Wave International (EWI) regularly put out great free content on their site. If you’ve visited their site before, you may have seen “Chart of the Day,” a featured series of videos that take a quick, but close examination of a chart from one of EWI’s paid publications.
As Frost & Prechter’s Wall Street classic book, Elliott Wave Principle, says: The Wave Principle is the best forecasting tool in existence. [It] imparts an immense amount of knowledge about the market’s position … and its probable ensuing path.
There’s an old saying on Wall Street that goes “buy low and sell high.” It’s usually said in jest because it’s a feat that’s much easier said than done. History shows that most investors pile into bull markets just as they are about to end, and they do the opposite in bear markets: sell right near the bottom, when the fear is at its highest.
Do you see a pattern you recognize in this chart of Reynolds American (RAI)? The Wave Principle separates price action into two categories: motive and corrective, and this price chart has a clear example of one category.
Every day, the mainstream financial experts attempt to explain away fluctuations in stock market trends with some “fundamental factor” du jour, all of which boil down to this: good news causes a market to rise and bad news — to fall.
Some Elliott wave forex traders do watch the news — but for different reasons By Elliott Wave International Last Friday, EURUSD rallied strongly. Said Reuters: “The U.S. dollar tumbled against a basket of major currencies…on U.S. political uncertainty after the FBI said it would review more emails related to Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton’s private […]