MCX Copper June futures on last Friday slipped down below 200MA on both daily(366.8) and hourly(366.7) charts. However around the market close, managed to close above 200MA on both the timeframes it is a short term bullish setup as responsive buyers shown support on Friday low around the 361 mark.
Both Short term (Daily Sentiment) and Very Short term sentiment (Hourly) in MCX Crude holds down. Sideways action is expected with a possible test towards 3170. However any sustainable move coming above 3213 indicates resume of short term trend up that is more likely to keep the trend strong in the very short term.
Global commodities are taking the blood bath as Bloomberg #Commodity Index is down 8%(approx) since the mid of February 2017. So Metals and metals related stocks are taking a hit in the past few trading weeks. Copper Price often signals the strength of the global economy. Copper prices are currently trading around the pschological reference level 2.5$ and all momentum indicators are currently in a negative mode across daily, weekly and monthly timeframe.
In the last outlook we seen MCX Crudeoil – balancing behavior on the weekly and daily timeframe. Since then we had spent more time withing the balance. And now the is a significant change from the sentimental point of view as both daily and weekly sentiment turning down which brings us bias towards the breakdown from the bottom of the balance – 3500 zone.
According to the news-focused analysts, commodities as a whole had resolved to quit their bear habits in 2011, and soar: “The bull market in commodities is likely to continue for some time.” (Dec. 8, 2010, Wall Street Journal). “The crash of 2008 in commodities was a mere blip… The rally in prices shows no signs of slowing.” (March 9, 2010, National Post)
MCX Goldon the monthly charts consolidating for the last for the 5 years in the band of Rs25000 – 32200 per 10 gram. Sentiment on the monthly charts suggests the long term sentiment is reversed to the negative bias and posied towards the lower end of the balance Rs25000 w- longer term trend which is expected to happen around 3-4 months duration.
MCX Gold surges to a high of Rs31326/Kg when Mr.Donald trump was leading the election results on 9th Nov 2016. Around 10.40p.m gold topped out and from there post the election announcement MCX Gold dropped to a low of Rs29269/Kg on last Friday (Nov 11,2016). The dollar rose to its strongest level since February. Bonds continued to get pounded, with losses exceeding $1 trillion this week.