Bank Nifty since the start of Jan 2017 had done a 1000 points+ recovery and moved up without much rotations on the daily charts. Trading Sentiment remains positive for the weekly timeframe as well as daily timeframe. However trading sentiment on the daily timeframe is at the extreme which could bring short term corrections or volatile sideways action.
On the broader range Bank Nifty Futures is in sideways mode between 18000-20500 for the last 7 months which indicates that clearly the market is not driven by the longer term players. Long term players dominance is less reflected in the last 7 months.
The RBI cut benchmark rates by 25 basis points (bps) on 4 October, bringing down the repo rate from 6.5% to 6.25% since then there is a significant underperformance in banknifty futures as compared with nifty futures. And this underperformance in banknifty futures is expected to continue in the upcoming trading sessions as every minor rallies in banknifty gets rejected at higher level and sellers stepping
Nifty and Bank Nifty sentiment turned negative on the EOD charts on the event of BRExit poll announcement. And the global markets also strongly reacted for the BRExit poll outcome. USDINR Spot closed around 67.8264 and GBPINR lost almost 5%. Reality, Capital Good and Metals are the Top Sector losers with looses mounting to more than 3% each.
Nifty and Bank Nifty Daily Sentiment oscillators are holding positive and currently. Minor Resistance zone coming around 7870 and 16800 respectively. Breakout is likely to be on the upper side once the minor resistance zone taken out.
Nifty and Bank Nifty August Futures Daily Sentiment turned positive on friday. India’s July WPI inflation figures came at -4.05% YoY Vs June WPI was -2.40%. Despite the Chinese Yuan Devaluation and weaker USDINR sentiment market rallied from the lows on positive IIP figures ( grew 3.8%) and possible rate cut sentiment due to negative inflation growth.
It is interesting to note that DII’s are relentlessly buying the equity market right from 12th June 2015 despite Greece Exit fears, Global Meltdown and Indian Market seems to be resilient to such macro events. Monday panic gap down in Nifty Index countered by late session rally on both monday and tuesday.
Nifty futures tested a low of 8001.1 on tuesday follow by a recovery very next day. The hourly timeframe in both nifty futures and bank nifty futures turned to buy mode in the second half of the yesterdays trading session. Currently the support zone comes around 8018 and 17436 respectively. Trend could reverse if the support zone breaks on the hourly charts on closing basis.
Bank Nifty future closed the week at 18764.15 after opening for the day at 18525. The low for day made 18478. week on week it’s the third weekly positive closing for bank nifty in the month of May 2015.
Nifty and Bank Nifty futures is in downtrend in most of its timeframe. Last week Nifty closed above 5EMA(high) but the subsequent week closed below 5EMA(high) however bank nifty futures is not able to close above 5EMA(high) in the last week and still continuing its long term downtrend.
Bank nifty future opened the day at 19701.55 and made the intraday low at 19512 before making the close after a strong bounce from lows in later half of the trading session at 19907.80. Markets closed on a positive note for the day but negative for the week.
Government spending policies that influence macroeconomic conditions. Through fiscal policy, regulators attempt to improve unemployment rates, control inflation, stabilize business cycles and influence interest rates in an effort to control the economy. Fiscal policy is largely based on the ideas of British economist John Maynard Keynes (1883–1946), who believed governments could change economic performance by adjusting tax rates and government spending.