It is interesting to note that DII’s are relentlessly buying the equity market right from 12th June 2015 despite Greece Exit fears, Global Meltdown and Indian Market seems to be resilient to such macro events. Monday panic gap down in Nifty Index countered by late session rally on both monday and tuesday.
Nifty Futures tested below previous weekly low (8251) and made Monday panic bottom at 8191.4 and recovered from there with two late rally sessions. Nifty futures previous week high (8433) is not yet taken off despite last week close above 5EMA(high) which indicates still longer timeframe buyers are not yet convinced to extend the rally. And Nifty Futures level 8433 remains a critical deciding point for the extension of rally on the weekly timeframe. Relative Strength is positive and in uptrend since last three weeks and VIX FIX still holds the bullish setup.
Bank Nifty on the weekly charts haven’t surpassed previous week high, haven’t closed above EMA-High(18362) and tested previous day low. From the positive aspect Relative strength maintains positive for last two weeks and VIX VIX FIX still holds the bullish setup.
Nifty Futures Hourly Charts
Nifty and Bank Nifty futures broken above the resistance zone during the late session rally and currently the hourly supports zone comes around 8263 and 17970 respectively. Breaking down the support levels on the hourly timeframe indicates a possible resumption of downtrend again.
Nifty Open Interest Lookup
Nifty Option series begins with higher open interest at 7900PE and 8000PE and later some open interest built up near 8200PE post the nifty made panic monday bottom. Possibly 8200 is the zone which attracted put writers post the panic bottom. On the Call side strikes no major call writing is visible at this point compared to the put strikes which is again a good derivative sentiment for those who bet on the longs.
RRG Graph – Indian Sectors
Relative Rotational Graph shows that CNX Pharma, CNX Realty, CNX PSU Bank are the potential outperformers relative to Nifty Index. However CNX Energy, CNX IT, CNX PSE, CNX Infra are the possible laggards in the short run.