Now copper is trading around $2.8626 & as we can see on charts , after spending more than 10 trading session , finally copper providing a downside breakout with aggressive volume. The reversal coming in copper is from 61.8% fibonacci retracement level as well as very close to the top line of long descending channel . Below $2.8398 mark we may witness more weakness in prices.
Now silver is trading around $16.36 mark & as we can see on charts, silver rally was strongly rejected by descending trend line & this will be the 4th time when we have a rejection here. This shows the strength of the trend line. As well as the price are trading well below 38.2% fibonacci retracement now with RSI below 50 mark now.
Now gold is trading around $1211 & as we can see on charts gold following a upward trade line & reaching to the major resistance zone from $1224-1245. While looking at the big time frame gold still looking bearish & this move seems like 3 corrective move after completing the 5 wave downside elliott wave pattern.
Now crude is trading around $48.94 & as we can see on charts, its approaching to the broken tradeline of last symmetrical triangle pattern. This recovery seems to be a corrective one due to less volume & weak candlestick structure. However small timeframe charts showing some positivity but day & weekly charts are still bearish.
Now gold showing recovery from previous bottom level & also broken from a shot term descending channel as shown in picture. However this breakout is not supported well in terms of volume & that force us to stay concern about this upside rally. The strength of this rally will be tested on $1205 once.
Crude is trading around $50.80 & as we can see on charts it is trapped in a range & producing a symmetrical triangle pattern. Generally these patterns appear before a big move & provide a either side breakout in 50-75% length range. Candlestick pattern are neutral with RSI. Decreasing volume from last few weeks hint for the same.
Fundamental remains very weak for silver from last few months, gold with bad performance in 2014 kept pressure on silver as well as slowdown in leading manufacturing economy china slashes silver demand as industrial metal. With a positive start of 2015 from gold & a major expectation of QE from china , japan & europe together could provide a supportive ambiance for this metal.
On fundamental side, mild weather in US expected to continue for coming 2 weeks & will put more pressure on prices. On other hand current inventory level of natural gas is 3432 bcf which is down by 400bcf compare to 5 year average. Inventory forecast for this week is -51 while 5 year average withdrawal is -17. These inventory level might help natural gas prices to hold above current year low.
Now gold is trading around $1184 & we can see on charts, friday gold rally more than 3% & provided a closing above $1182-1172 resistance which where able to stop gold momentum many times. Technically after breaking $1180 mark gold made a low of $1131 while unable to close below $1138 mark which represent the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement level.