If there’s ever been a time to resist the impulse to follow the investing crowd, now is that time. Large speculators are making a bet that’s four times larger than what they made in January 2008. Take a look at this chart.
Here at Ellliotwave International we studied investors behavior for nearly 40 years. A huge benefit of all that study is being able to study today’s stock market to the major market market tops and bottoms of the past. This Mutual Fund Vs Money Market Ratio ( 30 years of historical chart) shows extreme sentimental indications which shows how riskier the investments in today’s stock market compared to 2000 and 2008.
In 2013, our chief commodity analyst Jeffrey Kennedy co-authored an invaluable resource titled “Visual Guide to Elliott Wave Trading” in which he explained how combining Elliott analysis with technical methods enables traders to identify price action moving with, and against the larger trend.
The market itself provides its own clues about its future price action. One such clue is found in higher-beta small cap stocks vs. lower-beta blue chips. Get our take.
We all love a bargain… Except when it comes to stocks. The reason boils down to uncertainty. We know what our fruits and vegetables should cost at the grocer’s — but we’re far less certain about how much to pay for a blue-chip stock or shares in an S&P 500 Index fund.
Stock picking is losing favor. On the other hand, passive investing is growing in popularity. This fits with the stock market’s Elliott wave pattern. The mania is not over, but the end might be closer than many investors realize
The Elliott wave model often indicates a stock market outlook that’s at odds with the sentiment of the crowd. But, that’s okay. The crowd is usually wrong at major market turns. For example, two years ago on May 9, 2015, the bull market was six years old and the third longest in history. A few days earlier, CNN Money said: As the bull market gets longer and longer, investors are getting jittery.
As Frost & Prechter’s Wall Street classic book, Elliott Wave Principle, says: The Wave Principle is the best forecasting tool in existence. [It] imparts an immense amount of knowledge about the market’s position … and its probable ensuing path.
Announcing Trader Education Week — A FREE trading event that will teach you how to spot trading opportunities in your charts. Spend March 20-24 getting free trading lessons that you can apply to your trading immediately — from one of the world’s foremost market technicians, Jeffrey Kennedy. Register now for your FREE week of trading lessons and get immediate access to 2 introductory resources.
Close to ninety percent of all traders lose money. The remaining ten percent somehow manage to either break even or even turn a profit — and more importantly, do it consistently. How do they do that?
There’s an old saying on Wall Street that goes “buy low and sell high.” It’s usually said in jest because it’s a feat that’s much easier said than done. History shows that most investors pile into bull markets just as they are about to end, and they do the opposite in bear markets: sell right near the bottom, when the fear is at its highest.
Do you see a pattern you recognize in this chart of Reynolds American (RAI)? The Wave Principle separates price action into two categories: motive and corrective, and this price chart has a clear example of one category.